KNOCKOUT MMA

Questions, answered

Before you join

The UFC DFS sheet for DraftKings. Who wins, how it ends, the chance of 100 and ownership for every contest type.

The sheet what it is and when it lands

What is the sheet?

One row per fighter on the card. The chance to win, how it ends, the chance of a round 1 win, points on a win and on a loss, the chance of 100+, our projection and where the field will be.

It lands midweek, moves with the news until contests start and is frozen then. On Monday the review shows what won and how the sheet called it. Open this week’s sheet.

Where do the numbers come from?

Our own fight model. Win chances start from the betting market with the bookmaker margin taken out. Our volume model turns each fight into points, the 100+ chance and the projection. Ownership is our own forecast from public inputs. We never republish another service’s numbers. How the sheet is built.

How does ownership by contest type work?

The field is different in every room. A single-entry crowd builds differently from a 150-max flagship, and cash players chase the floor. So the sheet forecasts ownership for each fighter in five rooms: Flagship, Mega, 20-max, Single entry, Cash.

Read the column for the room you play. A fighter who is chalk in the flagship can be low-owned in single entry. Ownership by contest type sits right under the sheet.

What is free?

One full row per bout, every column. The Monday review. Every past sheet in the archive and every fighter’s page in the fighter index. The Wednesday email with the free rows. Members get both corners of every bout.

Membership what you get and how billing works

What does membership include?

  • The full sheet (Wednesday). Every fighter, every column: win, how it ends, round 1, points on a win or a loss, the 100+ chance, our projection.
  • Ownership by contest type (Wednesday, updated before lock). Where the field will be in the flagship, the Mega, 20-max rooms, single entry and cash, fighter by fighter.
  • The final numbers (Before lock). Every row updated before contests start, with what moved since Wednesday.
  • The Monday review (Monday). What won: the winning score, the scores that mattered and how the sheet called it.

Monthly or a season pass. Membership opens after this card. What it includes.

How do I cancel?

Any time, in one click from your billing page. No email, no call. You keep access to the end of the period you paid for. Card passes cover one card, from the Wednesday sheet to the Monday review, and never renew.

Can I get a refund?

Monthly and card-pass payments are final once that period’s sheet has been delivered. A season pass can be cancelled for a pro-rated refund within 14 days of purchase. If the member sheet is not up by the time contests start, that card is refunded in full.

The tools the optimizer and Your Tape

How does the optimizer work?

The optimizer turns the sheet into your builds. You pick the fighters, the salary shape, the rooms and how hard to lean on each read. It does the math. Every lineup it makes comes from your decisions.

What is Your Tape?

Download your UFC contest history from DraftKings and drop it on Your Tape. It reads your lineups against the whole field, room by room. The file is read in your browser: nothing is uploaded, stored or shared.

The rules DraftKings, age and where you can play

Do you send lineups?

Never. DraftKings bars content providers from handing out pre-built lineups, and the sheet is built for players who make their own calls. We publish fighter-level analysis only: no lineups, no lineup files, no upload CSVs. Every lineup is your own.

Who is it for, and where is it legal?

Adults 21 and over in places where daily fantasy is legal. Paid fantasy contests are not offered in every state. You are responsible for the law where you play and for DraftKings’ own eligibility rules.

The sheet is fantasy sports analysis. It is not gambling advice. Knockout MMA is not affiliated with DraftKings or the UFC. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

How do I get help?

Reply to any Wednesday email and it reaches us.

The full sheet

This card is free with your email. Membership opens soon: both corners of every bout, ownership by contest type, the notes and the final numbers before contests start. What membership includes