UFC 329 · FREE PUBLIC BETA · CARD OPEN/PRICES JUL 10, 11:00 UTC
KOKNOCKOUT MMA

UFC 329 free beta · everything unlocked

Call the finish.

Every fight priced: who wins, how it ends, and when. Then we put the model next to the market and show where the numbers disagree.

Walk-forward backtest, UFC only, 20232026: 1,902 bets · +26% ROI · +$50,164 at $100 per unit. Backtested, not guaranteed. Saturday starts the live record.

UFC 329 · main event · Sat, Jul 11live model read
McGregorVSHolloway
29%
71%
+194 · underdogfavorite · -215

Our model picks Holloway by decision.

See the number, the danger, and the current price →

UFC 329 free beta

Get the final card. Then get the receipt.

We'll send the final UFC 329 model card before lock: every pick, every official play, the available price, and the stake. After the fights, we'll send the grade — wins, losses, and whether the number beat the close.

Free beta. No card. No auto-renewal. Card emails plus future Knockout MMA analysis — unsubscribe anytime. 21+ where applicable.

A winner is the easy part.

Most prediction pages stop at a name. We price the whole fight: winner, method, and round — live numbers below are McGregor vs Holloway.

Who wins
McGregor 29%71% Holloway

The win number. Calibrated and graded, not dressed up as certainty.

How it ends
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
10%
Decision
41%

KO, submission, or decision. One probability for every way out.

When
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5

Where the finish risk builds, round by round — 59% chance this one ends early.

Every fight gets the full read. Free for UFC 329. See the full McGregor vs Holloway breakdown →

The pick is not the bet.

The model has a number. The market has a price. The gap is the whole game.

biggest edge this card+10.9ppZach Reese by SUBGandra vs Reese+1600Method

Free for UFC 329. Committed before the first fight. Graded after. See every official play on this card →

The backtest made the case. Now comes the receipt.

the ledger →

One walk-forward UFC portfolio, 20232026. Trained on the past, tested on fights it had not seen. No look-ahead.

+$50,164
profit at $100/unit
+26%
ROI
1,902
backtest bets
66%
win rate
+21.3–30.6%
95% CI on ROI
Profitable every year2023 +$15,563 +27.6% · n5552024 +$18,275 +30.3% · n5972025 +$13,029 +23.6% · n5432026 +$3,297 +15.9% · n207

Dollar figures are the backtest’s +501.64 units at $100 per unit — scale to your own stake. These are backtest results, not live profit. UFC 329 begins the live ledger: every official play is committed before the first fight and graded after — wins, losses, and the closing number we beat or didn’t. How it works →

UFC 329 public beta

Use the whole product. Then grade us.

Predictions, finish probabilities, market edges, and every official play are free for UFC 329. No paywall. No victory lap before the fights happen.

Before the first fight, the plays are frozen and their fingerprint is published. After the card, every result goes into the public ledger — wins, losses, and the closing number we beat or didn’t.

Free beta. No payment details. Paid alerts launch later.

1
Explore free
Every prediction and official play, unlocked.
2
Get the final card
The last refresh lands in your inbox before lock.
3
See the receipt
Every play graded in public after the fights.

Read the card, in order

all posts →